Российская экономика остается в рец

Российская экономика остается в рецессии, а страна теперь прошла через полный год экономического спада. Тем не менее, возможен некоторый свет в конце туннеля. Рецессия в России официально началась в четвертом квартале 2014 года, а затем значительно углубилась в течение 2015 года. В 2014 году экономический рост в России составил только 0,6 процента, и экономика страны, как ожидается, сократится на 3,8 процента в 2015 году.
В режиме гибкого обменного курса в России, снижение цен на основные экспортные товары страны (нефть и газ) сразу приводит к ослаблению рубля. Так цены на нефть снизились вдвое в конце 2014 года до $60 за баррель, и курс рубля изменился в равной мере. Это быстрое обесценивание реального эффективного обменного курса (РЭОК) вызвало резкое сокращение импорта. Российские домохозяйства и фирмы просто не могут позволить себе больше платить за рост стоимости иностранных товаров и услуг. До сих пор, это не привело к глубокой рецессии, и российские граждане вынуждены были сократить свое потребление, в результате чего значительно большая группа людей сейчас живет в тяжелых условиях.
Тем не менее, в условиях более слабого курса начинают появляться новые возможности. Впервые за десятилетия, "Сделано в России" имеет шанс снова стать глобальной торговой маркой. Поскольку слабый рубль создал ценовое преимущество для некоторых отраслей промышленности, объемы экспорта начали расти, что, в свою очередь, привлекало инвестиции в определенные сектора. Экспорт в страны за пределами Содружества Независимых Государств увеличился в секторах горнодобывающей, химической и машиностроительной промышленности. В результате, общий объем российского экспорта вырос на 1,7 процента в первом полугодии 2015 года. До сих пор этого не было достаточно, чтобы сформировать общее увеличение неэнергетического экспорта, но это может измениться в среднесрочной перспективе.
Что необходимо, чтобы увидеть больше продуктов на международных рынках, сделанных в России? Пока положительное влияние девальвации рубля на сектора экономики России было ограничено и неравномерно. Производство увеличилось в некоторых секторах, таких, как добыча полезных ископаемых и производство химической продукции, в то время как сельскохозяйственное производство и производство продуктов питания были поддержаны не только девальвацией, но и запретом России на импорт продовольствия. Тем не менее, относительное улучшение цен не существенно повлияло на экспорт товаров российского промышленного сектора, в частности, экспорт неэнергетических товаров, так как многие промышленные продукты страны остались неконкурентоспособными на международных рынках. Как факт, промышленное производство сократилось на 2 процента в первом полугодии 2015 года, в то время как за аналогичный период в 2014 году оно выросло на 3,5 процента. Ключевой вопрос: может ли это измениться в среднесрочной перспективе и привести к более широкому росту в промышленности и увеличению экспорта?
Для некоторых производителей по-прежнему необходимы инвестиции, чтобы воспользоваться корректировкой цен. Компании с сильными стандартам качества, кажется, уже извлекают преимущества от ослабления рубля, а другим по-прежнему необходимо повышать свою конкурентоспособность. Изменение профиля продукта и производства до уровня международных стандартов качества по всем направлениям может занять некоторое время и потребовать инвестиций. Но этот процесс, кажется, начался, так как инвестиции в некоторых секторах уже значительно увеличились, особенно в химической, резиновой, пластмассовой индустрии, электронике и машиностроительных отраслях.
Инвестиционные решения стимулируются ценовыми преимуществами и инвестиционным климатом. Российским инвесторам по-прежнему не хватает уверенности для более широких инвестиций и многое будет зависеть от прогресса в целом структурных реформ в России (т.е. создания более эффективных рыночных факторов и построения лучшей нормативно-правовой среды, которая способствует конкуренции). Это долгосрочная повестка, и, если в России получится провести реформы, то будут созданы условия, чтобы возродить бренд «Сделано в России».

Результаты (английский) 1:

The Russian economy remains in recession, and the country now has gone through a full year of recession. However, it is possible some light at the end of the tunnel. The recession in Russia officially began in the fourth quarter of the year 2014, and then significantly deepened during the year 2015. In the year 2014 in Russia's economic growth was only 0.6 per cent, and the economy is expected to shrink by 3.8 percent in the year 2015.In a flexible exchange rate regime in Russia, price reductions at the country's main export commodities (oil and gas) immediately leads to a weakening of the ruble. So oil prices have fallen by half at the end of the year 2014 to $ 60 per barrel and the exchange rate has changed equally. This rapid depreciation of the real effective exchange rate (REER) caused a sharp decline in imports. Russian households and firms simply cannot afford to pay more for growth in the value of foreign goods and services. So far, this has not resulted in a deep recession, and the Russians were forced to reduce its consumption, resulting in a significantly large group of people now living in precarious conditions.However, in the face of a weaker rate begin to appear new opportunities. For the first time in decades, "made in Russia" has a chance to again become a global brand. As the feeble ruble has created a price advantage for some industries, exports began to rise, which in turn attracted investment in certain sectors. Exports to countries outside the Commonwealth of independent States increased in the sectors of mining, chemical and engineering industries. As a result, the total volume of Russian exports grew by 1.7 percent in the first half of the year 2015. So far this has not been enough to form an overall increase in non-energy exports, but this may change in the medium term.What you need to see more products on international markets, made in Russia? While the positive effect of the devaluation of the ruble on the sector of the Russian economy was limited and uneven. Production has increased in some sectors, such as mining and production of chemical products, while agricultural production and food production were supported not only by the devaluation, but also Russia's ban on imports of food. However, the relative improvement in prices not significantly affected the exports of the Russian industrial sector, in particular, the export of non-energy commodities, as many of the country's industrial products remained uncompetitive in international markets. As a fact, industrial production fell by 2 per cent in the first half of the year 2015, while for the same period in the year 2014 it grew by 3.5 per cent. The key question: can it change over the medium term and lead to greater growth in the industry and increase exports?For some producers, investments are still needed to take advantage of price adjustment. Companies with strong quality standards seems to already extract benefits from a weakening of the ruble, while others still need to improve their competitiveness. Changing the profile of the product and production up to international standards of quality in all directions may take some time and require investment. But the process seems to have begun, as investment in certain sectors already have increased considerably, particularly in the chemical, rubber, plastic industry, electronics and machine-building industries.Investment decisions are stimulated with price advantages and investment climate. Russian investors still lacked confidence for broader investment and much will depend on progress in structural reforms in Russia (i.e. create more effective market forces and build a better regulatory environment that promotes competition). This is a long-term agenda, and if reforms are to succeed in Russia, conditions will be created to revive the brand "made in Russia".

Результаты (английский) 2:

The Russian economy remains in a recession, and the country now has gone through a full year of the recession. Nevertheless, there may be some light in the tunnel. The recession officially began in Russia in the fourth quarter of 2014, and then deepened considerably during 2015. In 2014, economic growth in Russia amounted to only 0.6 percent, and the economy is expected to shrink by 3.8 percent in 2015..
In a flexible exchange rate regime in Russia, the decline in prices for the main export commodities (oil and gas ) immediately leads to a weakening of the ruble. Since oil prices have fallen by half at the end of 2014 to $ 60 per barrel and the exchange rate changed in equal measure. This rapid depreciation of the real effective exchange rate (REER) has caused a sharp decline in imports. Russian households and firms simply can not afford to pay more for the rising cost of foreign goods and services. Until now, this has not led to a deep recession, and Russian citizens were forced to reduce its consumption, resulting in a much larger group of people now living in difficult conditions.
However, in a weaker exchange rate begin to appear new opportunities. For the first time in decades, the "Made in Russia" has a chance to once again become a global brand. Since the weak ruble created the price advantage for some industries, exports began to rise, which in turn attracts investment in certain sectors. Exports to countries outside the Commonwealth of Independent States increased in the sectors of mining, chemical and engineering industries. As a result, the total volume of Russian exports grew by 1.7 percent in the first half of 2015. Until now, it was not enough to form an overall increase in non-energy exports, but this may change in the medium term.
What do I need to see more products in the international markets, made ​​in Russia? While the positive impact of ruble devaluation in the Russian sector of the economy has been limited and uneven. Production increased in some sectors, such as mining and chemical production, while agricultural production and food production have been supported not only the devaluation, but also Russia's ban on imports of food. Nevertheless, the relative improvement in prices has not significantly affected the exports of Russian industrial sector, in particular, exports of non-energy commodities, as many of the country's industrial products remained uncompetitive on international markets. As a fact, industrial production fell by 2 percent in the first half of 2015, while during the same period in 2014 it grew by 3.5 percent. The key question is whether this change in the medium term and lead to greater growth in the industry and increase exports?
For some manufacturers still needed investments to take advantage of price adjustment. Companies with strong quality standards, it seems, is taking advantage of the weakening of the ruble, while others still need to improve their competitiveness. Changing the profile of the product and production to international standards of quality in all areas can take some time and require investment. But this process seems to have started as an investment in some sectors have increased significantly, particularly in the chemical, rubber, plastic industry, electronics and engineering industries.
Investment decisions stimulated by cost advantages and investment climate. Russian investors still lack confidence for broader investment and much will depend on progress in structural reforms in the whole of Russia (ie, creating a more efficient market forces and build a better regulatory environment that promotes competition). This long-term agenda, and, if Russia will carry out reforms that will create conditions to revive the brand "Made in Russia".

Результаты (английский) 3:

the russian economy is in recession, and now the country has gone through a full year of economic decline. nevertheless, there could be some light at the end of the tunnel.the recession in russia officially began in the fourth quarter of 2014 and then significantly deepened during the 2015. in 2014, the economic growth in russia was only 0.6 per cent, and the economy of the country.is expected to be reduced by 3.8% in 2015.
in the flexible exchange rate regime in russia, the decline in the prices of the country's main exports (oil and gas) immediately leads to the weakening of the ruble.as oil prices dropped by half at the end of 2014 to $60 per barrel, and the rouble has changed in equal measure. it is the rapid depreciation of the real effective exchange rate (рэок) caused a drastic reduction in imports.russian households and firms simply cannot afford to pay more for increases in the cost of foreign goods and services. so far, this has not led to a deep recession.and the russians were forced to reduce their consumption, which has a large group of people now living in difficult conditions. "however,in the context of the weaker of the emerging new opportunities. for the first time in decades, "made in russia" has the chance to become a global brand.since weak ruble created an advantage for some industries, exports began to increase, which in turn attracted investment in certain sectors.exports to countries outside the commonwealth of independent states increased in the sectors of mining, chemical and engineering industries. as a result, the total volume of exports grew by 1.7 per cent in the first half of the year 2015. until now, this was not enough to form a general increase in the неэнергетического exports, but this may change in the medium term. that is,to see more products in international markets, made in russia? while the positive impact of the devaluation of the ruble in the sector of the economy in russia has been limited and unevenly distributed.