DES MOINES — Late Monday night, sup

DES MOINES — Late Monday night, supporters of Hillary Clinton gathered for what they expected would be a victory rally.

Over the weekend, her campaign had exuded confidence, with some advisers predicting she would win the Iowa caucuses by several percentage points, and by Monday evening, they were urging news outlets to call the race in her favor. Mrs. Clinton prepared a victory speech in which she virtually ignored her rival, Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont, and attacked the Republican candidates.

Then the caucus results started rolling in. And everything changed.

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The outcome in Iowa — which at least until Tuesday afternoon appeared to be effectively a tie with a far left senator from a small New England state — dealt a jolting psychological blow to the Clinton campaign, leaving volunteers, donors and aides confused throughout the night, and then crestfallen. They had hoped that the former secretary of state would garner a decisive victory here and put to rest any doubts about her strength as a candidate.

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Clinton Has Won Iowa Caucuses
Final vote counts showed Hillary Clinton narrowly beating Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont, according to The Associated Press and other news organizations.

Instead, they now head to New Hampshire, where Mr. Sanders is heavily favored in the polls, and brace themselves for another battle before they reach more hospitable states like Nevada and South Carolina.

Even before Mrs. Clinton finished her brief remarks to her supporters late Monday night, discussions were underway among her outside advisers and donors about the need to bring in longtime Clinton aides and diminish the role of Robby Mook, her young data-driven campaign manager. Asked about such discussions, Nick Merrill, a spokesman for the campaign, grew irritated. “Are you serious?” he said tersely to a reporter.

On board the campaign’s plane to New Hampshire, Brian Fallon, another spokesman, declared a victory for Mrs. Clinton. “We believe strongly that we won tonight,” Mr. Fallon said. “Senator Sanders has been saying for weeks that if this caucus was a high turnout affair, he would win. He was wrong.”

The Iowa Democratic Party declared early Tuesday morning that Mrs. Clinton had won. On Tuesday afternoon, The Associated Press also declared Mrs. Clinton the winner.

The question the Clinton campaign confronts is whether the first two states are simply demographically unfriendly to Mrs. Clinton, as many analysts believe, or whether her lack of connection so far in Iowa and New Hampshire indicates a deeper shakiness underlying her candidacy.

Former President Clinton had been among those who have attributed his wife’s poor performance more to her campaign’s muddled strategy and lack of a clear message than to Mrs. Clinton’s own failings.

But strategic weaknesses can explain only so much. This election cycle has shown a hankering for anti-establishment candidates and a wariness toward political dynasties, whether their surnames are Clinton or Bush.

“You’re talking about someone who wants to move back into the White House, which is sort of a fundamentally anti-American notion,” said Stuart Stevens, Mitt Romney’s chief strategist in 2012.

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What’s more, Mr. Sanders showed strength in unexpected ways that could signal trouble for Mrs. Clinton, performing surprisingly well in rural counties and small caucus precincts, and even making some gains among Hispanic Democrats, his advisers said on Tuesday morning.

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Mrs. Clinton speaking Monday night at her caucus rally in Des Moines. Credit Doug Mills/The New York Times
Mr. Sanders won several counties that Mrs. Clinton carried in 2008 in conservative-leaning southwestern Iowa and in the northern part of the state, including Cerro Gordo County, where Mr. Sanders drew three times as many people as Mr. Clinton as the two men held dueling rallies last Wednesday night.

Many of Mrs. Clinton’s friends and former advisers from Arkansas and the White House planned to meet her in New Hampshire to provide moral support and energy to her campaign team. Her backers said the results in Iowa should not be given too much weight.

“I know the early four states love being the early four states, and every four years you hear more and more about them,” said Randi Weingarten, president of the American Federation of Teachers, which has endorsed Mrs. Clinton. “But 60 percent of the delegates actually get decided in March.”

Other Democratic analysts wondered,

Результаты (английский) 1:

DES MOINES — Late Monday night, supporters of Hillary Clinton gathered for what they expected would be a victory rally.Over the weekend, her campaign had exuded confidence, with some advisers predicting she would win the Iowa caucuses by several percentage points, and by Monday evening, they were urging news outlets to call the race in her favor. Mrs. Clinton prepared a victory speech in which she virtually ignored her rival, Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont, and attacked the Republican candidates.Then the caucus results started rolling in. And everything changed.Presidential Election 2016Democrats Tangle in New Hampshire Over Rights to ‘Progressive’ Label FEB 3Rand Paul and Rick Santorum Pull Out of G.O.P. Nomination Race FEB 3Republicans Try to Woo Women With a Softer Tone in New Hampshire FEB 3Ted Cruz, a Public Firebrand on Social Issues, Is Cooler When Wooing Donors FEB 3The Five Stages of Donald Trump’s Grief Over His Loss in Iowa FEB 3See More »The outcome in Iowa — which at least until Tuesday afternoon appeared to be effectively a tie with a far left senator from a small New England state — dealt a jolting psychological blow to the Clinton campaign, leaving volunteers, donors and aides confused throughout the night, and then crestfallen. They had hoped that the former secretary of state would garner a decisive victory here and put to rest any doubts about her strength as a candidate.Continue reading the main storyClinton Has Won The Iowa CaucusesFinal vote counts showed Hillary Clinton narrowly beating Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont, according to The Associated Press and other news organizations.Instead, they now head to New Hampshire, where Mr. Sanders is heavily favored in the polls, and brace themselves for another battle before they reach more hospitable states like Nevada and South Carolina.Even before Mrs. Clinton finished her brief remarks to her supporters late Monday night, discussions were underway among her outside advisers and donors about the need to bring in a longtime Clinton by aides and diminish the role of Robby Mook, her young data-driven campaign manager. Asked about such discussions, Nick Merrill, a spokesman for the campaign, grew irritated. "Are you serious?" he said tersely to a reporter.On board the campaign's plane to New Hampshire, Brian Fallon, another spokesman, declared a victory for Mrs. Clinton. "We believe strongly that we won tonight," Mr Fallon said. Senator Sanders has been saying for weeks that if this caucus was a high turnout affair, he would win. He was wrong. "The Iowa Democratic Party declared early Tuesday morning that Mrs. Clinton had won. On Tuesday afternoon, The Associated Press also declared Mrs. Clinton the winner.The question the Clinton campaign confronts is whether the first two states are simply demographically unfriendly to Mrs. Clinton, as many will believe, or whether her lack of connection so far in Iowa and New Hampshire indicates a deeper underlying her shakiness of your candidacy.Former President Clinton had been among those who have attributed his wife's poor performance more to her campaign's muddled strategy and lack of a clear message than to Mrs. Clinton's own failings.But strategic weaknesses can explain only so much. This election cycle has shown a hankering for anti-establishment candidates and a wariness toward political dynasties, whether their surnames are Clinton or Bush."You're talking about someone who wants to move back into the White House, which is sort of a fundamentally anti-American notion," said Stuart Stevens, Mitt Romney's chief strategist in 2012.AdvertisementContinue reading the main storyAdvertisementContinue reading the main storyWhat's more, Mr. Sanders showed strength in unexpected ways that could signal trouble for Mrs. Clinton, performing surprisingly well in rural counties and small caucus precincts, and even making some gains among Hispanic Democrats, his advisers said on Tuesday morning.PhotoMrs. Clinton speaking on Monday night at her caucus rally in Des Moines. Credit: Doug Mills/The New York TimesMr. Sanders won several counties that Mrs. Clinton carried in 2008 in conservative-leaning southwestern Iowa and in the northern part of the state, including Cerro Gordo County, where Mr Sanders drew three times as many people as Mr Clinton as the two men held dueling rallies last Wednesday night.Many of Mrs. Clinton's friends and former advisers from Arkansas and the White House planned to meet her in New Hampshire to provide moral support and energy to her campaign team. Her backers said the results in Iowa should not be given too much weight."I know the early four states love being the early four states, and every four years you hear more and more about them," said Randi Weingarten, president of the American Federation of Teachers, which has endorsed Mrs. Clinton. "But 60 percent of the delegates actually get decided in March."Other Democratic will wondered,

Результаты (английский) 2:

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