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Econometrics (page 9-10)
Economists like to the make Theories. They theories about why inflation happens, for example, or what causes unemployment. But theories are not useful if you can not test them. Is to true for This all sciences, and the Same for economics ACTUALITY.
The To test a theory, you first need to call the gather what Scientists Empirical Evidence. That's evidence that can be measured, like money spent or babies born. When you have collected evidence, you're ready to do the math and statistics to test your theory. Their maths call Economists econometrics.
Let's to take an example. Imagine that you want to find out why some people save more money than others. You may think that this depends on two things: how much they earn (their income) and how happy they generally are about saving money. CAN express your for We theory as with an Econometric formula:
the Amount some saves Their income ratio = the X Their happiness to the save
Of course the, we measure 'happiness to a can't exactly the save, But with Econometric mathematics CAN we give IT a of value. Then we can see how that value differs between groups of people or cultures. Econometrics is about finding relationships between variables- in other words relationships between values that change. Economists try to find out if variable A changes every time value B changes. Want to the find for They out the if variable A is dependent on variable B. The This is Called analysis, and there are to two two main kinds My Econometric analysis of: time-series analysis and of cross-sectional analysis.
Time The Series- analysis Shows how of the change over a variable period of time. How salaries increased over the last century, for example. Cross- sectional analysis compares variables at one point in the time. The salaries of men compared to women right now, for example. Of course, economists like to make things more complicated than that. For They combine of cross Sometimes-sectional with time-series analysis, and the this is Called the data analysis panel.
Of As we Said earlier, econometrics is good for testing Economic Theories. However, there is also a practical side to econometrics. Same maths and of The statistics are USED by governments and business the managers, as with a well as with academics have.
Econometrics CAN to help governments and companies' the find out how of a well for They are doing. With the data from all this mathematics, they can make better decisions and plan better for the future.
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