Демографическая ситуация в России
- В нашем прошлогоднем интервью Вы сказали, что перепись позволяет заглянуть в будущее. Так что ждет Россию в ближайшие десятилетия? Вымрем, как динозавры?
- Ну, во-первых, конечно, не вымрем. Но тенденция сокращения численности населения, видимо, будет продолжаться. На 100 женщин сегодня приходится 125 детей. Только для простого воспроизводства требуется, чтобы рождалось в два раза больше. Старение населения происходит очень быстрыми темпами. К сожалению, сохраняется сверхсмертность мужчин в трудоспособном возрасте. То есть, учитывая все факторы, влияющие на демографическую ситуацию, пока нет оснований говорить, что что-то изменится к лучшему. По нашим прогнозам, к 2016 население сократится до 140 миллионов человек. Представляете? Но многое будет зависеть от того, как поведет себя миграция.
Результаты (
английский) 1:
[копия]Скопировано!
Demographic situation in Russia-In our last interview, you said that the Census allows you to see into the future. So waiting for Russia in the coming decade? Vymrem, as the dinosaurs?-Well, first of all, of course, not vymrem. But the trend of population decline is likely to continue. On 100 women today account for 125 children. Only for reproduction required to produce twice as much. Population ageing is happening very rapidly. Unfortunately, the alarmingly large men of working age. That is, given all the factors that influence the demographic situation, there is no reason to say that something will change for the better. According to our forecasts, the population of 2016 will be reduced to 140 million people. Can you Imagine? But much will depend on how the migration will behave.
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Результаты (
английский) 2:
[копия]Скопировано!
The demographic situation in Russia - in our interview last year you said that the census provides a glimpse into the future. So what will happen to Russia in the coming decades? Die out like dinosaurs? - Well, first of all, of course, did not die out. But the trend of population decline is likely to be continued. 100 women now account for 125 children. Only for simple reproduction takes to born twice. Population aging is a very fast pace. Unfortunately, there remains excessive mortality of men of working age. That is, taking into account all the factors affecting the demographic situation, there is no reason to say that things will change for the better. According to our forecasts, by 2016 the population will drop to 140 million people. Can you imagine? But much will depend on how you behave migration.
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Результаты (
английский) 3:
[копия]Скопировано!
The demographic situation in Russia
- in our last interview you said that the census allows you to look to the future. So that is waiting for Russia in the coming decade? Вымрем as dinosaurs?Lord - well, in the first place, of course,Not вымрем. But the trend decline in the population, it seems, will continue. The 100 women today have 125 children. Only for simple reproduction is required, especially pleasing to more than twice as much.The aging of the population is a very rapid pace. Unfortunately, there is still also have little dependence between men in the working-age population. That is, given all of the factors that influence the demographic situation,As long as there is no reason to say, that we will change for the better. For our projections, by 2016 the population will be reduced by 140 million people. Represent? But much will depend on how will behave in such a migration.
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